UPDATED: 09-09-26 19:20 PDT

stick Stephen F. Aus
  
Stephen F. Austin     
W-L: ( 1- 7) PR = 90.8163

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 224 A Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 8- 9 310 A Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 1-14 408 H UIC MV ( 7-12, 92.6) 0- 4 428 H Houston B12 (23-28, 94.6) 5- 2 514 H NC State ACC (34-21, 96.4) 2- 4 515 H NC State ACC (34-21, 96.4) 6- 7 516 H Lamar SL (11-13, 93.3) 2- 4 517 H Lamar SL (11-13, 93.3) 0-11

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 A Baylor                  8- 9      -1    -5    +      3.58
   310 A Texas A&M               1-14     -13    -9    --    -4.15
   408 H UIC                     0- 4      -4    -1    -     -2.86
   428 H Houston                 5- 2       3    -3    +++    6.10
   514 H NC State                2- 4      -2    -5    +      2.89
   515 H NC State                6- 7      -1    -5    +      3.89
   516 H Lamar                   2- 4      -2    -2          -0.23
   517 H Lamar                   0-11     -11    -2    ---   -9.23

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   517 H Lamar                   0-11     -11    -2    ---   -9.23
   310 A Texas A&M               1-14     -13    -9    --    -4.15
   408 H UIC                     0- 4      -4    -1    -     -2.86

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 H Houston                 5- 2       3    -3    +++    6.10
   224 A Baylor                  8- 9      -1    -5    +      3.58
   514 H NC State                2- 4      -2    -5    +      2.89
   515 H NC State                6- 7      -1    -5    +      3.89

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A Baylor          (26-27, 94.7)     8- 9       -5.18      13.25       0.68         3.62            -8.14
   3 A Texas A&M       (40-18, 99.0)     1-14       -0.91      17.52       0.68         3.62            -0.42
   3 H UIC             ( 7-12, 92.6)     0- 4       -7.27      11.16      -0.68         3.62           -14.36
   3 H Houston         (23-28, 94.6)     5- 2       -5.30      13.12      -0.68         3.62            89.99
   3 H NC State        (34-21, 96.4)     2- 4       -3.52      14.91      -0.68         3.62            -7.58
   3 H NC State        (34-21, 96.4)     6- 7       -3.52      14.91      -0.68         3.62            -7.58
   3 H Lamar           (11-13, 93.3)     2- 4       -6.64      11.79      -0.68         3.62           -13.22
   3 H Lamar           (11-13, 93.3)     0-11       -6.64      11.79      -0.68         3.62           -13.22
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        25.48

winning pts = 89.9922 losing points = -64.5116

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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